Republican Vote Share vs. Median Rent by County

Counties with higher Median Rent tend to have lower Republican Vote Share.

Strong link: a correlation of −0.54 across 3,064 counties.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%$1K$2KMedian Rent (Monthly; $3,501 Means $3,500 or More)Republican Vote Share (President, %)Roberts County, TXGrant County, NEDistrict of Columbia, DCPrince George's County, MDIrion County, TXJefferson County, MS
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 3,064 counties. The correlation between Median Rent and Republican Vote Share is -0.54, a strong relationship: about 29% of the differences in Republican Vote Share from place to place line up with Median Rent. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.49.

The highest Republican Vote Share is in Roberts County, TX (96.0%), Grant County, NE (95.9%) and Hayes County, NE (95.5%); the lowest is in District of Columbia, DC (5.08%), Prince George's County, MD (11.2%) and Baltimore city, MD (12.2%). The median place has 70.0% for Republican Vote Share and $876 for Median Rent.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. Irion County, TX, Cameron Parish, LA and Dawson County, GA have a much higher Republican Vote Share than their Median Rent would predict, while Jefferson County, MS, Oglala Lakota County, SD and Claiborne County, MS have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Median Rent is from 2024 and Republican Vote Share from 2024.

Highest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Rent
Roberts County, TX96.0%$859
Grant County, NE95.9%$867
Hayes County, NE95.5%$508
Garfield County, MT94.5%$725
Motley County, TX94.2%$675

Lowest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Rent
District of Columbia, DC5.08%$1,954
Prince George's County, MD11.2%$1,799
Baltimore city, MD12.2%$1,331
Petersburg city, VA13.0%$1,174
Oglala Lakota County, SD13.3%$584

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