Republican Vote Share vs. Median Household Income by State

States with higher Median Household Income tend to have lower Republican Vote Share.

Very strong link: a correlation of −0.73 across 51 states.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%$60K$80K$100KMedian Household IncomeRepublican Vote Share (President, %)WyomingWest VirginiaDistrict of ColumbiaVermont
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 51 states. The correlation between Median Household Income and Republican Vote Share is -0.73, a very strong relationship: about 53% of the differences in Republican Vote Share from place to place line up with Median Household Income. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.74.

The highest Republican Vote Share is in Wyoming (72.3%), West Virginia (70.0%) and North Dakota (67.5%); the lowest is in District of Columbia (6.47%), Vermont (32.6%) and Maryland (34.3%). The median state has 51.0% for Republican Vote Share and $77,485 for Median Household Income.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. Wyoming, Utah and Idaho have a much higher Republican Vote Share than their Median Household Income would predict, while District of Columbia, Vermont and New Mexico have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Median Household Income is from 2024 and Republican Vote Share from 2024.

Highest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Household Income
Wyoming72.3%$76,176
West Virginia70.0%$59,608
North Dakota67.5%$76,657
Idaho66.9%$77,800
Oklahoma66.2%$65,039

Lowest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Household Income
District of Columbia6.47%$109,870
Vermont32.6%$81,203
Maryland34.3%$103,678
Massachusetts36.2%$103,960
Hawaii37.5%$100,389

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