Republican Vote Share vs. Median Home Value by State

States with higher Median Home Value tend to have lower Republican Vote Share.

Strong link: a correlation of −0.68 across 51 states.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%$200K$400K$600K$800KMedian Home Value (Capped at $2M)Republican Vote Share (President, %)WyomingWest VirginiaDistrict of ColumbiaVermontIdaho
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 51 states. The correlation between Median Home Value and Republican Vote Share is -0.68, a strong relationship: about 46% of the differences in Republican Vote Share from place to place line up with Median Home Value. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.67.

The highest Republican Vote Share is in Wyoming (72.3%), West Virginia (70.0%) and North Dakota (67.5%); the lowest is in District of Columbia (6.47%), Vermont (32.6%) and Maryland (34.3%). The median state has 51.0% for Republican Vote Share and $303,300 for Median Home Value.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. Idaho, Wyoming and Utah have a much higher Republican Vote Share than their Median Home Value would predict, while District of Columbia, Vermont and Maryland have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Median Home Value is from 2024 and Republican Vote Share from 2024.

Highest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Home Value
Wyoming72.3%$309,700
West Virginia70.0%$162,600
North Dakota67.5%$249,900
Idaho66.9%$418,600
Oklahoma66.2%$199,800

Lowest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareMedian Home Value
District of Columbia6.47%$737,100
Vermont32.6%$316,600
Maryland34.3%$419,900
Massachusetts36.2%$562,100
Hawaii37.5%$839,100

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