Republican Vote Share vs. Average Commute by State

States with higher Average Commute tend to have lower Republican Vote Share.

Strong link: a correlation of −0.57 across 51 states.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%20.025.030.0Average Commute (Minutes)Republican Vote Share (President, %)WyomingWest VirginiaDistrict of ColumbiaVermont
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 51 states. The correlation between Average Commute and Republican Vote Share is -0.57, a strong relationship: about 32% of the differences in Republican Vote Share from place to place line up with Average Commute. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.54.

The highest Republican Vote Share is in Wyoming (72.3%), West Virginia (70.0%) and North Dakota (67.5%); the lowest is in District of Columbia (6.47%), Vermont (32.6%) and Maryland (34.3%). The median state has 51.0% for Republican Vote Share and 25.2 for Average Commute.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. West Virginia, Alabama and Tennessee have a much higher Republican Vote Share than their Average Commute would predict, while District of Columbia, Vermont and Oregon have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Average Commute is from 2024 and Republican Vote Share from 2024.

Highest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareAverage Commute
Wyoming72.3%18.8
West Virginia70.0%26.6
North Dakota67.5%17.9
Idaho66.9%21.6
Oklahoma66.2%22.4

Lowest Republican Vote Share

PlaceRepublican Vote ShareAverage Commute
District of Columbia6.47%30.0
Vermont32.6%23.5
Maryland34.3%31.1
Massachusetts36.2%29.1
Hawaii37.5%26.2

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