Republican Vote Share vs. Average Commute by State
States with higher Average Commute tend to have lower Republican Vote Share.
Strong link: a correlation of −0.57 across 51 states.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →
Each dot in the chart is one of 51 states. The correlation between Average Commute and Republican Vote Share is -0.57, a strong relationship: about 32% of the differences in Republican Vote Share from place to place line up with Average Commute. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.54.
The highest Republican Vote Share is in Wyoming (72.3%), West Virginia (70.0%) and North Dakota (67.5%); the lowest is in District of Columbia (6.47%), Vermont (32.6%) and Maryland (34.3%). The median state has 51.0% for Republican Vote Share and 25.2 for Average Commute.
The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. West Virginia, Alabama and Tennessee have a much higher Republican Vote Share than their Average Commute would predict, while District of Columbia, Vermont and Oregon have a much lower one.
This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Average Commute is from 2024 and Republican Vote Share from 2024.
Highest Republican Vote Share
| Place | Republican Vote Share | Average Commute |
|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | 72.3% | 18.8 |
| West Virginia | 70.0% | 26.6 |
| North Dakota | 67.5% | 17.9 |
| Idaho | 66.9% | 21.6 |
| Oklahoma | 66.2% | 22.4 |
Lowest Republican Vote Share
| Place | Republican Vote Share | Average Commute |
|---|---|---|
| District of Columbia | 6.47% | 30.0 |
| Vermont | 32.6% | 23.5 |
| Maryland | 34.3% | 31.1 |
| Massachusetts | 36.2% | 29.1 |
| Hawaii | 37.5% | 26.2 |
Explore it yourself
- Open this comparison in the interactive chart to highlight places, change the metrics or colour by party.
- Full ranking and sources for Average Commute
- Full ranking and sources for Republican Vote Share