Poverty Rate vs. Average Temperature by State

States with higher Average Temperature tend to have higher Poverty Rate.

Strong link: a correlation of 0.54 across 50 states.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

7.5%10.0%12.5%15.0%17.5%30.040.050.060.070.0Average Temperature (°F)Poverty Rate (%)LouisianaMississippiNew HampshireUtahNew MexicoHawaii
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 50 states. The correlation between Average Temperature and Poverty Rate is 0.54, a strong relationship: about 30% of the differences in Poverty Rate from place to place line up with Average Temperature. Ranked instead of measured, the link is 0.55.

The highest Poverty Rate is in Louisiana (18.9%), Mississippi (18.9%) and New Mexico (17.8%); the lowest is in New Hampshire (7.25%), Utah (8.5%) and Minnesota (9.3%). The median state has 11.8% for Poverty Rate and 52.0 for Average Temperature.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. New Mexico, Mississippi and West Virginia have a much higher Poverty Rate than their Average Temperature would predict, while Hawaii, New Hampshire and Maryland have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Average Temperature is from the latest available year and Poverty Rate from 2024.

Highest Poverty Rate

PlacePoverty RateAverage Temperature
Louisiana18.9%67.1
Mississippi18.9%64.2
New Mexico17.8%54.5
West Virginia16.7%52.6
Kentucky16.1%56.3

Lowest Poverty Rate

PlacePoverty RateAverage Temperature
New Hampshire7.25%44.0
Utah8.5%49.2
Minnesota9.3%41.7
Colorado9.44%46.2
Maryland9.45%55.4

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