Urban Population vs. Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births by Country

Countries with higher Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births tend to have lower Urban Population.

Strong link: a correlation of −0.55 across 195 countries.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%20.040.060.0Infant Deaths per 1,000 BirthsUrban Population (%)SingaporeKuwaitPapua New GuineaSamoaNigeriaSri Lanka
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 195 countries. The correlation between Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births and Urban Population is -0.55, a strong relationship: about 30% of the differences in Urban Population from place to place line up with Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.61.

The highest Urban Population is in Singapore (100.0%), Kuwait (100.0%) and Bahrain (100.0%); the lowest is in Papua New Guinea (15.8%), Samoa (17.5%) and Malawi (17.6%). The median place has 63.4% for Urban Population and 12.5 for Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. Nigeria, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea have a much higher Urban Population than their Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births would predict, while Sri Lanka, Samoa and Tonga have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Infant Deaths per 1,000 Births is from 2024 and Urban Population from 2025.

Highest Urban Population

PlaceUrban PopulationInfant Deaths per 1,000 Births
Singapore100.0%2.2
Kuwait100.0%7.0
Bahrain100.0%7.3
Monaco100.0%2.2
Nauru100.0%7.7

Lowest Urban Population

PlaceUrban PopulationInfant Deaths per 1,000 Births
Papua New Guinea15.8%31.3
Samoa17.5%12.3
Malawi17.6%38.0
Niger18.4%65.6
Sri Lanka20.5%5.2

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