Urban Population vs. Births per Woman by Country

Countries with higher Births per Woman tend to have lower Urban Population.

Strong link: a correlation of −0.50 across 215 countries.CorrelationHow closely two metrics move together, from −1 to +1. Near +1: both rise together. Near −1: one rises as the other falls. Near 0: no clear link.More in the glossary →

20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%246Births per WomanUrban Population (%)Hong KongSingaporeLiechtensteinPapua New GuineaNauru
Each dot is one place. The dashed line is the trend; circled places are named in the text.

Each dot in the chart is one of 215 countries. The correlation between Births per Woman and Urban Population is -0.50, a strong relationship: about 25% of the differences in Urban Population from place to place line up with Births per Woman. Ranked instead of measured, the link is -0.49.

The highest Urban Population is in Hong Kong (100.0%), Singapore (100.0%) and Kuwait (100.0%); the lowest is in Liechtenstein (14.6%), Papua New Guinea (15.8%) and Samoa (17.5%). The median place has 64.6% for Urban Population and 1.91 for Births per Woman.

The biggest exceptions sit furthest from the trend line. Nauru, Gabon and Saint Martin have a much higher Urban Population than their Births per Woman would predict, while Liechtenstein, Sri Lanka and Antigua and Barbuda have a much lower one.

This is a comparison across places, not proof that one causes the other: both can follow from something else, such as income, age or how urban a place is. Births per Woman is from 2024 and Urban Population from 2025.

Highest Urban Population

PlaceUrban PopulationBirths per Woman
Hong Kong100.0%0.84
Singapore100.0%0.97
Kuwait100.0%1.56
Bahrain100.0%1.81
Macau100.0%0.58

Lowest Urban Population

PlaceUrban PopulationBirths per Woman
Liechtenstein14.6%1.37
Papua New Guinea15.8%3.07
Samoa17.5%3.8
Malawi17.6%3.59
Niger18.4%5.94

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